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Seth Shostak
Seth Shostak: ‘I doubt aliens would drop what they’re doing to wipe out Clapham Junction. Why would they do that?’ Photograph: Seti Institute
Seth Shostak: ‘I doubt aliens would drop what they’re doing to wipe out Clapham Junction. Why would they do that?’ Photograph: Seti Institute

Seth Shostak: We will find aliens in the next two decades

This article is more than 7 years old

Meeting ET isn’t so far off, I can bet my coffee on it, says astronomer who has dedicated his career to seeking out life on other planets

Astronomer Seth Shostak believes we will find ET in the next two decades; he has a cup of coffee riding on it. But don’t interpret such modest stakes as scepticism – the-72-year-old American has made it his life’s work to listen for life beyond Earth, and, according to the man himself, just isn’t the sort to bet a Maserati.

Shostak has spent the past 25 years of his career at the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (Seti) Institute in California, where there are 42 antennas poised to pick up alien communication. He believes that Earth-like, habitable planets might not be rare at all; there could be billions.

“It doesn’t seem unreasonable to think that we are not alone, if all those planets are completely sterile, you’ve got to think, wow there must be something really special and miraculous about Earth – but generally those people are not scientists,” he says.

“Finding life beyond Earth would be like giving neanderthals access to the British Museum; we could learn so much from a society that is more advanced than ours, and it would calibrate our own existence.”

Astronomy was a childhood interest for Shostak. He remembers picking up an atlas (he was very interested in maps) and becoming enthralled by a solar system diagram at the back. By age 10 he had built a telescope. And it was the sci-fi films being made during those formative years which sparked his interest in aliens. “Those movies really scared me, they made me ill all night – but I explained to my mother that I just had to see them,” he says, citing War of the Worlds, It Came from Outer Space and I Married an Alien as memorable childhood hits.

Could aliens look like those seen in Independence Day: Resurgence? Photograph: Mikael Buck/REX/Shutterstock

At 11, Shostak began making alien films of his own with friends; The Teenage Monster Blob, Which I Was, starred an alien monster made out of six pounds of Play-Doh. “When I was first making films, we tried to make serious drama. But audiences laughed, and we switched to making comedies and parodies,” he says.

Today he is called upon for his alien expertise by directors making sci-fi films and television shows. Contrary to said films and shows, he doesn’t spend his days sitting around with earphones on, straining to hear a signal. If you looked in at Shostak’s office during most days, you’d find him attending to that universal chore of the modern world: email. Apparently, even intergalactic explorers have admin. But he says the most productive hours of his day are spent discussing strategies with his Seti colleagues, writing articles about their research, and producing a weekly science radio show.

Is ET likely to look like he does in the Spielberg movie? Probably not. Any encounter is more likely to be with something post-biological, according to Shostak. Movie-makers are sometimes disappointed by that answer. “I think the aliens will be machine-like, and not soft and squidgy,” the scientist says. “We are working on the assumption that they must be at least as technologically advanced as we are if they are able to make contact. We aren’t going to find klingon neanderthals – they might be out there, but they are not doing anything that we can find.”

ET aside, aliens are invariably depicted as hostile, and intent on wreaking destruction. The new Independence Day sequel is no exception. “Films [like Independence Day] speak to our hardwired fears – but I worry more about the price of popcorn in the cinema,” says Shostak. Other scientists – including Stephen Hawking – have cautioned that making contact with aliens could be dangerous, but as Shostak points out Seti isn’t broadcasting messages, it is just listening.

“I don’t share those concerns anyway – any society that has the ability to send rockets to earth is centuries ahead of us – at least – and will already know we are here. We have betrayed our presence with radio signals since the second world war.

“Besides, I doubt aliens would drop what they’re doing to come over here and wipe out Clapham Junction – why would they do that? They probably have what we have at home – except for our culture, maybe they are big Cliff Richard fans or like our reality television.”

Shostak is pretty relaxed about the film industry playing fast and loose with science. He doesn’t mind that “Professor Fudnick” and “Doctor Fliebelveitzer” do not address one another by their first names, as normal scientists do. And there are some practical things he has helped with, like cooking up an excuse as to why a dead alien in Green Lantern looked so much like a human.

“Only about 30% of the advice I give is actually incorporated somehow into their films,” he says. “But that is okay – the goal is to get kids interested in science and give it some emotional appeal.” A high percentage of scientists have their initial interest in the field sparked by popular culture – film and television – according to Shostak. “I give talks at schools, and when I ask who believes in aliens, every hand shoots up, because – what kid isn’t interested in aliens?”

Alien-obsession certainly never left Shostak. After studying physics at university as an undergraduate, astronomy sucked him back in. “I signed up to do physics at grad school but walked into an astronomy classroom within the first few weeks and saw the pictures on the wall; nebuli, galaxies, planets, the 200-inch Hale Telescope, all that appealed to me a lot more than physics did, so I switched classes.” He went on to specialise in radio astronomy – which complemented his interest in electronics – and spent 13 years working at a Dutch university, before returning to the US and being approached by Seti.

Work is never boring for Shostak, discoveries are being made all the time and technology advances every year, which keeps things exciting. Plus he has that cup of coffee to look forward to. Until then, he’ll keep shooting for the stars.

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